December CPI Hits 3-Month High at 1.33%, RBI Target Intact
Overview
India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 1.33% in December, marking a three-month high. Despite the uptick, the figure remains well within the Reserve Bank of India's 4% target. Food inflation stayed negative at -2.71%, offering a buffer, though price pressures emerged in personal care, vegetables, and meat. This gives the RBI ample room to continue supporting economic growth.
India's Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 1.33% in December 2024, marking a three-month high. The figure represents a 62 basis point increase from November 2024, signaling a slight acceleration in price pressures.
Despite the uptick, inflation remains comfortably within the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) target band of 2% to 6%, with the central bank's preferred medium-term goal at 4%. This sustained low inflation environment provides the RBI with significant flexibility to continue prioritizing economic growth initiatives.
Food Inflation Offers Buffer
Food inflation, a critical component for household budgets, remained in deflationary territory. The All India Consumer Food Price Index registered at minus 2.71% on a year-on-year basis in December 2024. This negative trend in food prices offers consumers a degree of relief and helps temper overall inflation.
Price pressures were noted across several categories, including personal care and effects, vegetables, meat and fish, eggs, spices, and pulses. These contributed to the rise in the headline inflation figure for the month.
Rural and Urban Dynamics
In rural areas, headline inflation saw an increase, moving to 0.76% in December from 0.10% in November. Food inflation in rural areas moderated slightly, standing at minus 3.08% compared to minus 4.05% in the previous month.
Urban inflation also firmed up, with the headline rate climbing to 2.03% in December, up from 1.40% in November. Food inflation in urban centers shifted to minus 2.09%, an increase from minus 3.60% a month earlier.
Other Inflation Components
Housing inflation, measured for the urban sector, saw a marginal decrease, easing to 2.86% year-on-year in December from 2.95% in November. Education inflation, covering both rural and urban areas, recorded 3.32% on a year-on-year basis, slightly lower than the 3.38% observed in November.
The persistent low inflation readings, especially with negative food inflation, underscore the absence of broad-based price shocks. This allows policymakers to focus on stimulating economic expansion without immediate concerns over price stability. The Reserve Bank of India is expected to maintain its accommodative stance, supporting credit flow and investment.
