Jefferies: New Labour Laws to Squeeze Profits for 14 Indian Firms
Overview
Jefferies predicts a recurring financial impact on 14 Indian companies due to new labor laws affecting gratuity and leave encashment, effective from the December quarter. Firms with higher employee costs relative to profit before tax will face greater pressure, with an estimated 3% hit on financials assuming a 2% incremental wage cost. Major capital goods, retail, and IT firms are among those flagged.
Stocks Mentioned
New Wage Bill Fuels Profit Margin Concerns
Brokerage firm Jefferies has flagged a significant recurring financial impact for at least 14 Indian companies stemming from new labor laws. The changes, which necessitate adjustments in accounting for gratuity pay and leave encashment, become effective from the December quarter.
This regulatory shift is poised to alter company balance sheets and income statements. Jefferies noted that the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India (ICAI) has clarified the accounting treatment, making these new rules mandatory for financial reporting.
Employee Costs Drive Impact
The extent of the financial strain will largely depend on a company's employee cost structure. Jefferies' analysis indicates that firms with a higher ratio of India employee costs to profit before tax (PBT) will experience the most pronounced and recurring effects.
Assuming a conservative 2% incremental wage cost, the brokerage identified 14 companies that could see their financials impacted by as much as 3% on a recurring basis. This could translate into lower profitability and affect valuation metrics for these entities.
Sectors in Focus
Capital goods manufacturers like Bharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. (BHEL), Afcons Infrastructure Ltd., and Larsen & Toubro Ltd. are among the prominent names likely to feel the pinch. Retail sector players, including Jubilant FoodWorks and Nykaa, also face potential headwinds.
Information Technology (IT) services firms such as Coforge, Tech Mahindra, and LTIMindtree are also expected to be affected. While some companies might see a one-time financial adjustment in the December quarter, Jefferies suggests the market is likely to discount such isolated events, focusing instead on the persistent, recurring impact.
